Soccer Betting Guide – Betting against the Goalkeeper:
Before we dive into this interesting topic, it would be productive to understand a very useful concept that beginners often don’t have in mind when betting on football games: equivalent soccer betting markets.
You may already know that there are mathematical equivalents to different betting odds systems such as the fractional odds system of the UK, the decimal European odds system, and American money lines for example.
If you bet in the correct score market, in the 0-0 result, it would be the same as betting on the under 0.5 goals @ FT in the goals betting market. Like exactly the same. Some bookies will release odds in different ways, let’s say, several over/under goals markets, but may not release exact score odds for a specific game.
Betting against The Goalie: football betting guide
There are infinite ways to spot value in a football game these days. Let’s say you know a goalie is underperforming. But he still didn’t concede as many goals as you expect, let’s suppose he got lucky and the strikers before him were wildly incompetent.
But you know it’s gonna happen soon. But if you visit one of our trusted partners, you likely won’t find a specific way to bet against the goalkeeper. But there are numerous ways to do this indirectly.
If you believe there’s going to be a bad GK on the pitch, then you most definitely could bet on overs in the over/under goal betting market. Of course, it is wise to analyze other factors of the game, for example, if there’s a titan like Manchester City to face a poor goalie of a small team, then the over/under markets will have adjusted lines already and there won’t be that much value in theory.
Odds calculation is important and tracking your own performance is too, we’ll have a special guide about it soon.
Betting against a football goalkeeper: other indirect forms
You can also bet on the opposing team to win, naturally, but you can use more indirect ways to profit from this insight.
Let’s consider the exact score betting market: you can bet a little bit of money on several exact score markets that involve lots of goals. As the odds are big in this market, there’s a chance a winning bet could bring home a profit and cover the losses of the other speculative selections.
Moreover, you can also bet on corner kicks. A bad GK is likely to produce more corner kicks after shots that weren’t even that hard to save after all. Even card betting can be interesting. Football is a sports team, and if a soccer defender feels insecure or even upset because they know they have a bad goalkeeper behind them, they are more likely to make bad decisions and violent fouls to defend the team before the problem becomes a task for the bad keeper.
Keep an eye on our home page for more football betting guides!